tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 20%

  1. 15:05 MCO → 17:20 ORD
    AA 2066 · American · 3h 18m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:07 ORD → 20:42 DTW
    AA 3500 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 35m · 61% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection37%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 63% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (37%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 37mMCO 15:05 to DTW 20:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.