tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Columbus via Chicago: arrives on time 22%

  1. 15:05 MCO → 17:20 ORD
    AA 2066 · American · 3h 18m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:06 ORD → 20:43 CMH
    AA 4430 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 37m · 66% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 38mMCO 15:05 to CMH 20:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.