tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Indianapolis via Miami: arrives on time 26%

  1. 18:34 MCO → 19:50 MIA
    AA 2072 · American · 1h 16m · 29% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 MIA → 23:50 IND
    AA 2518 · American · 2h 51m · 69% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 16mMCO 18:34 to IND 23:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.