tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → New York via Orlando: arrives on time 11%

  1. 16:32 MIA → 17:54 MCO
    AA 2072 · American · 1h 21m · 52% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:42 MCO → 21:29 LGA
    AA 2069 · American · 2h 44m · 26% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (26%).
Total trip4h 54mMIA 16:32 to LGA 21:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.