tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Appleton via Chicago: arrives on time 44%

  1. 14:35 CLT → 15:56 ORD
    AA 2080 · American · 2h 21m · 74% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:50 ORD → 18:08 ATW
    AA 3410 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 15m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Appleton is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 30mCLT 14:35 to ATW 18:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.