tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Syracuse via Chicago: arrives on time 26%

  1. 14:35 CLT → 15:56 ORD
    AA 2080 · American · 2h 21m · 74% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:45 ORD → 19:50 SYR
    AA 6398 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 05m · 49% on time, 8.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (8.6% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip5h 15mCLT 14:35 to SYR 19:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.