tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Philadelphia via Orlando: arrives on time 20%

  1. 14:55 CLT → 16:44 MCO
    AA 2082 · American · 1h 49m · 52% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:37 MCO → 20:22 PHL
    AA 2109 · American · 2h 45m · 46% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip5h 27mCLT 14:55 to PHL 20:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.