tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Buffalo via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:35 MCO → 19:34 CLT
    AA 2082 · American · 1h 59m · 49% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 CLT → 22:50 BUF
    AA 703 · American · 1h 46m · 71% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 16mMCO 17:35 to BUF 22:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.