tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Louisville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 25%

  1. 13:03 BOS → 14:38 PHL
    AA 2086 · American · 1h 35m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 PHL → 17:36 SDF
    AA 5394 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 11m · 61% on time, 7.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (7.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 33mBOS 13:03 to SDF 17:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.