tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Charleston via New York: arrives on time 35%

  1. 16:30 ORD → 19:53 LGA
    AA 2086 · American · 2h 23m · 50% on time, 11.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LGA → 23:21 CHS
    AA 4583 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 21m · 74% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (11.1% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 51mORD 16:30 to CHS 23:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.