Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Orlando → San Diego via Chicago: arrives on time 29%
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16:41 MCO → 18:59 ORDAA 2089 · American · 3h 18m · 23% on time, 2.8% cancelled
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2h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:10 ORD → 23:26 SANAA 2457 · American · 4h 16m · 45% on time, 5.6% cancelled
Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip9h 45mMCO 16:41 to SAN 23:26, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.