Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Orlando → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 16%
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16:41 MCO → 18:59 ORDAA 2089 · American · 3h 18m · 23% on time, 2.8% cancelled
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1h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:09 ORD → 23:30 EWRAA 2549 · American · 2h 21m · 45% on time, 7.0% cancelled
Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip6h 49mMCO 16:41 to EWR 23:30, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.