Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Orlando → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 13%
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16:41 MCO → 18:59 ORDAA 2089 · American · 3h 18m · 23% on time, 2.8% cancelled
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1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:59 ORD → 22:47 BUFAA 564 · American · 1h 48m · 57% on time, 0.7% cancelled
Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection23%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 77% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (23%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 06mMCO 16:41 to BUF 22:47, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.