Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Manchester via Chicago: arrives on time 33%

  1. 16:41 MCO → 18:59 ORD
    AA 2089 · American · 3h 18m · 23% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:11 ORD → 23:30 MHT
    AA 4149 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 31m · 84% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 01mMCO 16:41 to MHT 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.