tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → New York via Miami: arrives on time 18%

  1. 15:39 MCO → 16:50 MIA
    AA 2092 · American · 1h 11m · 52% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 MIA → 20:58 LGA
    AA 3128 · American · 3h 08m · 38% on time, 8.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (8.5% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip5h 19mMCO 15:39 to LGA 20:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.