tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Pensacola via Miami: arrives on time 46%

  1. 15:39 MCO → 16:50 MIA
    AA 2092 · American · 1h 11m · 52% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 MIA → 18:52 PNS
    AA 3743 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 57m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pensacola is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 13mMCO 15:39 to PNS 18:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.