tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 08:58 PHL → 10:38 ORD
    AA 2095 · American · 2h 40m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:55 ORD → 16:17 TVC
    AA 3772 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 22m · 76% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 19mPHL 08:58 to TVC 16:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.