tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Syracuse via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 08:58 PHL → 10:38 ORD
    AA 2095 · American · 2h 40m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:23 ORD → 16:26 SYR
    AA 3819 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 03m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 28mPHL 08:58 to SYR 16:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.