tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → St Louis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 16:48 MCO → 18:50 DFW
    AA 2097 · American · 3h 03m · 40% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 DFW → 21:48 STL
    AA 1010 · American · 1h 51m · 64% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 58mMCO 16:48 to STL 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.