tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → New Orleans via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 24%

  1. 16:48 MCO → 18:50 DFW
    AA 2097 · American · 3h 03m · 40% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DFW → 21:31 MSY
    AA 1455 · American · 1h 31m · 59% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 43mMCO 16:48 to MSY 21:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.