tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Birmingham via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 16:48 MCO → 18:50 DFW
    AA 2097 · American · 3h 03m · 40% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 DFW → 22:07 BHM
    AA 4118 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 57m · 71% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 19mMCO 16:48 to BHM 22:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.