tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 23%

  1. 15:32 MCO → 17:30 CLT
    AA 2098 · American · 1h 58m · 53% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:22 CLT → 20:00 DCA
    AA 2386 · American · 1h 38m · 58% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 28mMCO 15:32 to DCA 20:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.