tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Pensacola via Charlotte: arrives on time 24%

  1. 15:32 MCO → 17:30 CLT
    AA 2098 · American · 1h 58m · 53% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:16 CLT → 19:10 PNS
    AA 5429 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 54m · 69% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pensacola is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 38mMCO 15:32 to PNS 19:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.