tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Knoxville via Charlotte: arrives on time 20%

  1. 15:32 MCO → 17:30 CLT
    AA 2098 · American · 1h 58m · 53% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:17 CLT → 19:38 TYS
    AA 5957 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 21m · 55% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip4h 06mMCO 15:32 to TYS 19:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.