tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 75%

  1. 08:15 SDF → 09:54 CLT
    AA 2099 · American · 1h 39m · 83% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:07 CLT → 15:05 LGA
    AA 2036 · American · 1h 58m · 82% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 50mSDF 08:15 to LGA 15:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.