tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Charlotte: arrives on time 72%

  1. 08:15 SDF → 09:54 CLT
    AA 2099 · American · 1h 39m · 83% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:26 CLT → 13:06 LAS
    AA 2038 · American · 4h 40m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 51mSDF 08:15 to LAS 13:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.