tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Norfolk via Charlotte: arrives on time 30%

  1. 19:34 MCO → 21:39 CLT
    AA 2100 · American · 2h 05m · 54% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 CLT → 23:43 ORF
    AA 2674 · American · 1h 16m · 70% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 11mMCO 19:34 to ORF 23:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.