tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Birmingham via Charlotte: arrives on time 27%

  1. 19:34 MCO → 21:39 CLT
    AA 2100 · American · 2h 05m · 54% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:28 CLT → 23:00 BHM
    AA 362 · American · 1h 32m · 66% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 26mMCO 19:34 to BHM 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.