Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Louisville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 37%

  1. 12:02 MCO → 14:39 PHL
    AA 2101 · American · 2h 37m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 PHL → 17:36 SDF
    AA 5394 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 11m · 61% on time, 7.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (7.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 34mMCO 12:02 to SDF 17:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.