tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:05 JAX → 08:53 ORD
    AA 2102 · American · 2h 48m · 88% on time, 5.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:40 ORD → 12:11 STL
    UA 1355 · United · 1h 31m · 91% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 06mJAX 07:05 to STL 12:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.