tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:05 JAX → 08:53 ORD
    AA 2102 · American · 2h 48m · 88% on time, 5.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 ORD → 14:38 JFK
    AA 4356 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 38m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 33mJAX 07:05 to JFK 14:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.