tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Providence via Washington: arrives on time 40%

  1. 12:13 MCO → 14:31 DCA
    AA 2104 · American · 2h 18m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:29 DCA → 17:02 PVD
    AA 337 · American · 1h 33m · 64% on time, 13.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (13.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 49mMCO 12:13 to PVD 17:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.