tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Portland via Phoenix: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:20 MCO → 18:55 PHX
    AA 2105 · American · 4h 35m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 PHX → 23:08 PDX
    AA 561 · American · 2h 43m · 68% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 48mMCO 17:20 to PDX 23:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.