tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Charlotte via Las Vegas: arrives on time 53%

  1. 20:36 PHX → 21:43 LAS
    AA 2106 · American · 1h 07m · 68% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:41 LAS → 06:00 CLT +1 day
    AA 1454 · American · 4h 19m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 24mPHX 20:36 to CLT 06:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.