tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Grand Junction via Phoenix: arrives on time 39%

  1. 14:30 DFW → 14:57 PHX
    AA 2108 · American · 2h 27m · 60% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:53 PHX → 18:23 GJT
    AA 4994 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Junction is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 53mDFW 14:30 to GJT 18:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.