tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Tucson via Phoenix: arrives on time 34%

  1. 14:30 DFW → 14:57 PHX
    AA 2108 · American · 2h 27m · 60% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:56 PHX → 16:50 TUS
    AA 6368 · American, flown by SkyWest · 54m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tucson is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 20mDFW 14:30 to TUS 16:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.