tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Nashville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:37 MCO → 20:22 PHL
    AA 2109 · American · 2h 45m · 46% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 PHL → 22:46 BNA
    AA 2277 · American · 2h 16m · 62% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 09mMCO 17:37 to BNA 22:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.