tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Milwaukee via Philadelphia: arrives on time 35%

  1. 17:37 MCO → 20:22 PHL
    AA 2109 · American · 2h 45m · 46% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 PHL → 23:44 MKE
    AA 5483 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 19m · 68% on time, 24.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (24.3% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 07mMCO 17:37 to MKE 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.