tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Boise via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 27%

  1. 15:15 PHX → 19:53 DFW
    AA 2113 · American · 2h 38m · 54% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 DFW → 23:21 BOI
    AA 1104 · American · 3h 16m · 45% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip7h 06mPHX 15:15 to BOI 23:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.