tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Milwaukee via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 29%

  1. 15:15 PHX → 19:53 DFW
    AA 2113 · American · 2h 38m · 54% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DFW → 23:34 MKE
    AA 1234 · American · 2h 24m · 46% on time, 7.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (7.9% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 19mPHX 15:15 to MKE 23:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.