tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Salt Lake City via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 15:15 PHX → 19:53 DFW
    AA 2113 · American · 2h 38m · 54% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DFW → 22:59 SLC
    AA 2993 · American · 2h 49m · 47% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip6h 44mPHX 15:15 to SLC 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.