tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Indianapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 20%

  1. 15:15 PHX → 19:53 DFW
    AA 2113 · American · 2h 38m · 54% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:44 DFW → 23:58 IND
    AA 766 · American · 2h 14m · 50% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 43mPHX 15:15 to IND 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.