tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 69%

  1. 15:15 PHX → 19:53 DFW
    AA 2113 · American · 2h 38m · 54% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 DFW → 23:47 XNA
    AA 3693 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 17m · 77% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 32mPHX 15:15 to XNA 23:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.