tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Grand Junction via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 53%

  1. 15:15 PHX → 19:53 DFW
    AA 2113 · American · 2h 38m · 54% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 27m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 DFW → 22:51 GJT
    AA 6442 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 31m · 74% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Junction is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 36mPHX 15:15 to GJT 22:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.