tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Hartford via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:36 ORD → 09:46 PHL
    AA 2115 · American · 2h 11m · 76% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:51 PHL → 14:11 BDL
    AA 6035 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 20m · 85% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hartford is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 35mORD 06:36 to BDL 14:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.