tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Baltimore via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 14:56 MEM → 17:48 CLT
    AA 2116 · American · 1h 52m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:01 CLT → 20:36 BWI
    AA 1495 · American · 1h 35m · 67% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 40mMEM 14:56 to BWI 20:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.