tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Orlando via Philadelphia: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:45 MIA → 09:38 PHL
    AA 2129 · American · 2h 53m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 PHL → 13:30 MCO
    AA 2328 · American · 2h 40m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 45mMIA 06:45 to MCO 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.