tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Philadelphia: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:45 MIA → 09:38 PHL
    AA 2129 · American · 2h 53m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:28 PHL → 12:31 XNA
    AA 5543 · American, flown by PSA · 3h 03m · 80% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 46mMIA 06:45 to XNA 12:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.