tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Minneapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:45 MIA → 09:38 PHL
    AA 2129 · American · 2h 53m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 PHL → 12:38 MSP
    AA 5658 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 58m · 88% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 53mMIA 06:45 to MSP 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.