tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Cleveland via Philadelphia: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:45 MIA → 09:38 PHL
    AA 2129 · American · 2h 53m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 PHL → 14:38 CLE
    AA 5861 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 48m · 80% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 53mMIA 06:45 to CLE 14:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.